Earthquakes have long been considered unpredictable, their timing and intensity dictated by forces beyond our control. Yet, patterns emerge. Tectonic stress accumulates, fault lines shift, and the Earth’s internal mechanics reveal clues; if we learn how to listen. The results of Earth Vibe Check (EVC), formerly known as SpiderQuake, suggest that seismic forecasting may be entering a new era.
While no model is perfect, EVC has demonstrated notable successes, while also highlighting areas requiring further refinement. This study has expanded to not just about prediction; it is about accuracy, refinement, and what comes next.
By analyzing EVC’s performance, we identify what works, where improvements are needed, and how seismic forecasting may soon transition from probability-based models to actionable early warnings (...)
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